History line: The Oil Wars

History Line

In March 2015 armed forces of the then Superpower, the United States of America, used tactical nuclear weapons against an underground nuclear research facility in Tehran which it claimed was used to produce and store nuclear weapons. It was the first use of nuclear weapons in war since they were used to end the Second World War in 1945.




One of the 'bunker busting' tactical nuclear warheads however did not penetrate the research facility buried deep underground at Fordow. It exploded in the air and 20,000 people died immediately in that attack, while up to 130,000 are believed to have died subsequently as a result of radiation induced illnesses.

International condemnation followed, as did massive disruption to oil supplies and the global economy. But while they intensified their research and civilian transition to non-oil energy sources, the defence forces of western economies remained highly reliant on dwindling oil supplies and the ability of Superpowers such as the USA, China, Russia and India to project power was threatened.

The US in particular was vulnerable, and by 2025 only 30% of its defence related oil needs were able to be supplied by 'friendly' countries such as Canada and Norway, while 70% of its defence forces oil and gas supplies were from 'at risk' suppliers in Russia, Venezuala and the Middle East.

In January 2027 the vulnerability of the US strategic reliance on these 'at risk' suppliers was highlighted when the OPEC cartel in the Middle East announced a crippling price rise in crude oil, which the US refused to pay. OPEC nations announced an embargo on crude oil supplies to the US, and news soon leaked that the US had been forced to ground its strategic bomber fleet, quarantine two of its three remaining Aircraft Carrier Battle Groups, and curtail exercises in the Phillipines planned for June that year.

In September 2027 the US Foreign Secretary, Arthur Leonidis, announced that unless the OPEC embargo was lifted by the end of the month, the 'US and its allies (principally Israel, Turkey and the Central Asian republics of Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan) would consider the continuation of the embargo to be an act of war by OPEC nations, against the USA.'

OPEC, now backed by an expanded Middle East coalition of countries including Iran, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, refused to lift the embargo and this culminated in the invasion in October 2028 by Coalition Forces, of the UAE and Saudi Arabia, aimed at securing access to the Safaniya and Ghawar Oilfields.

Saudi and Iranian forces combined with Syria and Egypt to oppose the invasion and what became known as the Oil Wars followed. It is unclear which Arab nation was the first to use nuclear weapons in the Oil Wars, but historical consensus is that Saudi Arabia, not known at the time to possess nuclear weapons, detonated low yield nuclear weapons in the Ghawar, Abqaiq, Hawtah and Marjan fields in order to deny them to the invaders.

A large element of the US XVIII Airborne Corps was trapped in the hotzone created by these explosions and the US and Israel responded over the next week with tactical nuclear strikes on Iran, Syria and Egypt. Five million people died in these strikes and 25 million were displaced, leading to further regional conflict.


In June 2028 Pakistan entered the war. After a coup by the Pakistan Intelligence Services ousted the US friendly Sharwan regime, the new Pakistan Defence League announced a mutual defence treaty with Iran and the UAE. It warned that any further offensive action by the Coalition in the Middle East would be met with 'appropriate measures' by Pakistan.





The conflict however intensified as Coalition Forces landed in Libya to secure access to the large field at Sarir, now the second largest single oilfield in the world. Pakistan responded with a nuclear strike on the Coalition Forces using highly inaccurate Taimur ICBMs.


The attack resulted in blast and radiation damage to personnel, civilians and cities in Libya, but also Tunisia, Malta and Sicily.


Coalition forces responded with retaliatory nuclear strikes using nuclear armed US drones based in Uzbekistan, which devastated the Pakistan capital of Islamabad and suspected missile launch sites near Lahore and Dhaka. Six million people died in these attacks, and their aftermath.

The conflict was halted when a united Russia, China and India threatened all out nuclear war with the US and Coalition Forces unless they ceased hostilities. US Congress removed the then US President Carlton, and Coalition nuclear forces in the Gulf and mainland USA were disarmed by the UN.

On November 3 2028, six months after it started, the Oil War ended, and 50 million people were dead, including more than 50% of the population of Iran.

No comments: